← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Apr 7, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 58% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.33 |
| Club Brugge win | 19% | 5.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge −1 | 51% | 1.91 |
| St. Gilloise −1 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.54 |
| Under | 37% | 2.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Alan Minda · Club Brugge |
| 6' | ⚽ | Kévin Denkey · Club Brugge |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Gustaf Nilsson · St. Gilloise |
| 47' | 🟨 | Leonardo Lopes · Club Brugge |
| 69' | 🟨 | Edgaras Utkus · Club Brugge |
| 71' | ⚽ | Thibo Somers · Club Brugge |
| 78' | 🟨 | Alan Minda · Club Brugge |
| 79' | 🟨 | Anthony Moris · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | 🟨 | Henok Teklab · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jesper Daland · Club Brugge |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Mariën |
| 90' | ⚽ | Dennis Eckert · St. Gilloise |
| coach days | 281.00 | 584.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.11 | 3.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1823.07 | 1705.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.59 | 4.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| league points | 86.00 | 106.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 61.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 5.79 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.52 |
| season ppg | 2.32 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | -0.99 |
| solidity v1 | 0.65 | 0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.95 | 24.36 |
| state index | 0.47 | 0.99 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | -1.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.05 | 1.71 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.24 | 1.59 |