← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Apr 6, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: L. D'hondt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 44% | 2.18 |
| Genk win | 29% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp −0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Genk −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.87 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Vincent Janssen · Antwerp |
| 44' | ⚽ | Anouar Ait El Hadj · Genk |
| 50' | 🟨 | Alhassan Yusuf · Antwerp |
| 50' | 🟨 | Bilal El Khannouss · Genk |
| 89' | 🟨 | Gyrano Kerk · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 18 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antwerp | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Bosuilstadion |
| coach days | 706.00 | 706.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 1.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1738.81 | 1690.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.41 | -23.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.35 | 0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.74 |
| league points | 63.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.80 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 5.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.78 | 0.39 |
| solidity v1 | 0.74 | 0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.31 | 24.44 |
| state index | 0.77 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.97 | 0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.04 | 1.00 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.45 | 1.37 |