← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Mon, Apr 1, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 40% | 2.38 |
| Genk win | 32% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk +0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| St. Gilloise +0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Tolu Arokodare · Genk |
| 83' | 🟨 | Bilal El Khannouss · Genk |
| 83' | 🟨 | Ross Sykes · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | 🟥 | Christian Burgess · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| coach days | 701.00 | 275.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 5.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 8.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 3.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1677.84 | 1835.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.45 | -2.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.77 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 63.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.77 |
| league points | 57.00 | 86.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 14.96 | 15.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 2.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.93 | 0.03 |
| solidity v1 | 0.39 | 0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 24.31 | 27.04 |
| state index | 0.29 | 1.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.37 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.91 | 0.96 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.88 | 1.38 |