← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Mar 31, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Staessens
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 49% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.81 |
| Westerlo win | 25% | 4.29 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo −0.75 | 54% | 1.81 |
| St Truiden −0.75 | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Jarne Steuckers · St Truiden |
| 76' | 🟨 | Edisson Jordanov · Westerlo |
| 84' | ⚽ | Jarne Steuckers · St Truiden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium |
| coach days | 335.00 | 30.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 5.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1562.94 | 1520.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.29 | -19.58 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | 0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.00 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.58 |
| league points | 48.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.60 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 14.17 | 13.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.64 | 0.11 |
| solidity v1 | -1.27 | 0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 23.86 | 25.18 |
| state index | 0.34 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.75 | -0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.12 | 1.30 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.23 | 1.54 |