← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Mar 30, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Vergoote
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 40% | 2.47 |
| Antwerp win | 32% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Anderlecht −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.89 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Vincent Janssen · Antwerp |
| 38' | 🟨 | Jacob Ondrejka · Antwerp |
| 43' | 🟥 | Owen Wijndal · Antwerp |
| 52' | ⚽ | Killian Sardella · Anderlecht |
| 74' | 🟨 | Thorgan Hazard · Anderlecht |
| 78' | 🟨 | Thomas Delaney · Anderlecht |
| 79' | 🟨 | Jürgen Ekkelenkamp · Antwerp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Toby Alderweireld · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 485.00 | 699.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 2.98 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1772.99 | 1746.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.00 | -4.25 |
| eye test v1 | 0.82 | 0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.73 |
| league points | 77.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.40 | 62.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 13.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 2.14 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.16 | 1.15 |
| solidity v1 | 0.60 | 0.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.58 | 24.78 |
| state index | 0.95 | 0.97 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.82 | 1.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.18 | 1.05 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.91 | 1.64 |