← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Mar 17, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 66% | 1.47 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.55 |
| Charleroi win | 12% | 8.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi −1.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Gent −1.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.77 |
| Under | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | ⚽ | Matías Fernández-Pardo · Gent |
| 41' | ⚽ | Omri Gandelman · Gent |
| 48' | ⚽ | Omri Gandelman · Gent |
| 55' | ⚽ | Omri Gandelman · Gent |
| 67' | ⚽ | Omri Gandelman · Gent |
| 78' | 🟨 | Jeremy Petris · Charleroi |
| 83' | 🟨 | Jonas Bager · Charleroi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 9 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| coach days | 1202.00 | 16.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -7.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 9.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.70 | 1.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1662.56 | 1508.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.98 | 13.78 |
| eye test v1 | 0.49 | -1.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 48.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.77 |
| league points | 55.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 68.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | -1.23 |
| solidity v1 | -0.20 | 0.93 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.47 | 25.12 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | -0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.41 | 1.09 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.50 | 0.76 |