← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Mar 17, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Westerlo win | 26% | 3.84 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo +0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Genk +0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Serhiy Sydorchuk · Westerlo |
| 59' | 🟨 | Carlos Cuesta · Genk |
| 71' | 🟥 | Christopher Baah · Genk |
| 74' | 🟨 | Sinan Bolat · Westerlo |
| 75' | 🟨 | Jordan Bos · Westerlo |
| 80' | ⚽ | Ravil Tagir · Westerlo |
| 86' | ⚽ | Bryan Heynen · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Het Kuipje |
| coach days | 16.00 | 686.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 5.33 | 1.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1517.14 | 1680.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.69 | -22.97 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | 0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.74 |
| league points | 36.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 8.91 | 7.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.36 | 0.87 |
| solidity v1 | 0.25 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 24.41 | 24.27 |
| state index | -0.28 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.48 | 0.82 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.66 | 1.93 |