← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Mar 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 38% | 2.56 |
| St. Gilloise win | 35% | 2.72 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| St. Gilloise +0 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 48' | 🟨 | Koki Machida · St. Gilloise |
| 52' | 🟨 | Jelle Bataille · Antwerp |
| 60' | 🟨 | Cameron Puertas · St. Gilloise |
| 67' | 🟨 | Zeno Van Den Bosch · Antwerp |
| 72' | 🟨 | Koki Machida · St. Gilloise |
| 72' | 🟥 | Koki Machida · St. Gilloise |
| 77' | 🟨 | Christian Burgess · St. Gilloise |
| 82' | 🟨 | Chidera Ejuke · Antwerp |
| 84' | ⚽ | Gustaf Nilsson · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gustaf Nilsson · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antwerp | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Bosuilstadion |
| coach days | 686.00 | 260.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 8.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 2.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1745.47 | 1836.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.59 | -1.13 |
| eye test v1 | 1.18 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 65.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.65 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.75 |
| league points | 62.00 | 85.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.80 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 2.89 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 2.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.43 | 0.34 |
| solidity v1 | 1.35 | 1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 24.44 | 25.97 |
| state index | 1.20 | 1.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.04 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.89 | 0.82 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.09 | 1.48 |