← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Mar 16, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 73% | 1.33 |
| Draw | 17% | 6.18 |
| Kortrijk win | 10% | 10.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht −1.5 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Kortrijk −1.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.50 |
| Under | 36% | 2.71 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 62' | 🟨 | Mats Rits · Anderlecht |
| 79' | ⚽ | Isaak Davies · Kortrijk |
| 88' | 🟨 | Kristiyan Malinov · Kortrijk |
| 89' | 🟨 | Ryan Alebiosu · Kortrijk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 471.00 | 75.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.05 | 2.82 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1791.30 | 1437.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.82 | 2.07 |
| eye test v1 | 0.74 | -0.99 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.60 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.74 |
| league points | 77.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 2.20 | 0.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.11 | -0.86 |
| solidity v1 | 0.36 | -0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.25 | 24.95 |
| state index | 1.25 | -0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.98 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.30 | 1.64 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.96 | 0.93 |