← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Mar 16, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: N. Verboomen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 61% | 1.58 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.23 |
| AS Eupen win | 17% | 5.90 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Eupen −1 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Standard −1 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Wilfried Kanga · Standard |
| 40' | ⚽ | William Balikwisha · Standard |
| 82' | ⚽ | Kelvin Yeboah · Standard |
| 89' | ⚽ (og) | Regan Charles-Cook · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 2 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days | 75.00 | 15.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.97 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1549.46 | 1399.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.76 | -6.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | -1.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.80 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.71 |
| league points | 42.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 42.60 |
| rest days | 6.20 | 5.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 0.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.05 | -1.11 |
| solidity v1 | -0.41 | -0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 24.82 | 26.18 |
| state index | 0.18 | -0.87 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.68 | -0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.46 | 1.55 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.88 | 0.92 |