← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Mar 10, 06:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Allaerts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 38% | 2.52 |
| AS Eupen win | 33% | 2.98 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Eupen +0.25 | 55% | 1.76 |
| St Truiden +0.25 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Renaud Emond · AS Eupen |
| 22' | 🟨 | Rune Paeshuyse · AS Eupen |
| 45' | 🟨 | Robert-Jan Vanwesemael · St Truiden |
| 72' | 🟨 | Renaud Emond · AS Eupen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Boris Lambert · AS Eupen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 17 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Eupen | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| venue | Kehrwegstadion |
| coach days | 9.00 | 314.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 2.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1386.44 | 1547.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.77 | -8.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | -0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.52 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 69.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.64 |
| league points | 27.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 84.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 7.03 | 7.14 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 0.79 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.70 | 0.63 |
| solidity v1 | -0.60 | -1.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 25.92 | 22.91 |
| state index | -1.34 | -0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.27 | 0.92 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.39 | 2.27 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.99 | 1.30 |