← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Mar 9, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: L. D'hondt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Charleroi win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi +0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Club Brugge +0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.91 |
| Under | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Maxime Delanghe · Club Brugge |
| 40' | 🟥 | Boris Popović · Club Brugge |
| 53' | 🟨 | Daan Heymans · Charleroi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade du Pays de Charleroi |
| coach days | 8.00 | 555.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 3.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1505.08 | 1705.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.22 | 3.26 |
| eye test v1 | -1.22 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.63 |
| league points | 34.00 | 95.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 61.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.80 | 38.40 |
| rest days | 7.90 | 6.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.54 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.16 | -1.40 |
| solidity v1 | 0.65 | -0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.12 | 23.05 |
| state index | -0.35 | 0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | -1.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.06 | 1.89 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.64 | 1.43 |