← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Fri, Mar 8, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: N. Verboomen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 46% | 2.11 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Westerlo win | 27% | 3.69 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo −0.5 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Mechelen −0.5 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 37' | ⚽ | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 70' | 🟨 | Romeo Vermant · Westerlo |
| 73' | ⚽ | Patrick Pflücke · Mechelen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jordan Bos · Westerlo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 21 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 7 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| venue | AFAS Stadion |
| coach days | 128.00 | 7.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.17 | 5.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1596.73 | 1526.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 49.66 | -26.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.80 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.41 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.67 |
| league points | 47.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 6.20 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.31 | 0.34 |
| solidity v1 | 0.80 | 0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.05 | 25.35 |
| state index | 0.72 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.15 | 1.46 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.30 | 1.44 |