← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Mar 3, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: W. Smet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 73% | 1.30 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.87 |
| AS Eupen win | 11% | 10.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht −1.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| AS Eupen −1.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.54 |
| Under | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Thorgan Hazard · Anderlecht |
| 63' | 🟨 | Zeno Debast · Anderlecht |
| 81' | 🟨 | Jerome Deom · AS Eupen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Thorgan Hazard · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 458.00 | 2.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1777.85 | 1387.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 44.17 | -28.36 |
| eye test v1 | 0.51 | -0.96 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.20 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.66 |
| league points | 68.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 7.21 | 6.97 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 2.13 | 0.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.57 | -0.57 |
| solidity v1 | -0.10 | -0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.36 | 26.23 |
| state index | 1.25 | -1.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.30 | 1.33 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.78 | 0.85 |