← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Mar 2, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: W. De Cremer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 40% | 2.39 |
| Standard win | 31% | 3.11 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard +0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Gent +0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Tarik Tissoudali · Gent |
| 18' | 🟥 | Núrio Fortuna · Gent |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Wilfried Kanga · Standard |
| 55' | ⚽ | Kelvin Yeboah · Standard |
| 57' | 🟨 | Wilfried Kanga · Standard |
| 62' | ⚽ | Hayao Kawabe · Standard |
| 65' | ⚽ | Kelvin Yeboah · Standard |
| 70' | 🟨 | Steven Alzate · Standard |
| 80' | ⚽ | Matisse Samoise · Gent |
| 86' | 🟨 | Isaac Price · Standard |
| 86' | 🟨 | Tarik Tissoudali · Gent |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days | 61.00 | 1187.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 5.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 8.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 3.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1536.34 | 1675.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.80 | -20.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.35 | 0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.10 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.70 |
| league points | 39.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 6.09 | 6.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | 0.65 |
| solidity v1 | 0.36 | 0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 25.89 | 26.09 |
| state index | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.56 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.11 | 0.93 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.83 |