← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Mar 2, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 |
| Mechelen win | 24% | 4.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −0.5 | 52% | 1.92 |
| Club Brugge −0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Alan Minda · Club Brugge |
| 41' | ⚽ | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 44' | ⚽ | Felipe Augusto · Club Brugge |
| 45' | 🟨 | Mory Konate · Mechelen |
| 45' | ⚽ | Geoffry Hairemans · Mechelen |
| 46' | 🟨 | Munashe Garananga · Mechelen |
| 84' | 🟨 | Félix Lemaréchal · Club Brugge |
| 85' | ⚽ | Bilal Bafdili · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Jan Breydelstadion |
| coach days | 548.00 | 122.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 4.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1698.99 | 1582.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.37 | 38.64 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.47 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 63.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.80 |
| league points | 92.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 60.80 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.40 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 5.86 | 6.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.57 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.40 | -0.47 |
| solidity v1 | -0.35 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.20 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 24.14 | 26.81 |
| state index | 0.80 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.93 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.85 | 1.23 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.45 | 1.06 |