← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Fri, Mar 1, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo win | 45% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.49 |
| Charleroi win | 27% | 3.59 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Charleroi −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.89 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Youssouph Badji · Charleroi |
| 35' | 🟨 | Daan Heymans · Charleroi |
| 65' | ⚽ | Parfait Guiagon · Charleroi |
| 82' | 🟨 | Nicolas Madsen · Westerlo |
| 86' | 🟨 | Damien Marcq · Charleroi |
| 89' | 🟨 | Jeremy Petris · Charleroi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Het Kuipje |
| coach days | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 5.56 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1539.79 | 1492.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.71 | -18.37 |
| eye test v1 | 0.31 | -1.00 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 49.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.74 |
| league points | 36.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.12 | -1.20 |
| solidity v1 | -0.16 | 0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.06 | 26.63 |
| state index | -0.45 | -0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.03 | -0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.48 | 1.00 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.77 | 0.68 |