← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Feb 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Vergoote
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 39% | 2.47 |
| Antwerp win | 32% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp −0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Gent −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ (og) | Toby Alderweireld · Gent |
| 25' | ⚽ (pen) | Jacob Ondrejka · Antwerp |
| 28' | ⚽ | Pieter Gerkens · Gent |
| 49' | 🟨 | Ismael Kandouss · Gent |
| 49' | 🟨 | Jelle Bataille · Antwerp |
| 71' | 🟨 | Jacob Ondrejka · Antwerp |
| 84' | ⚽ | George Ilenikhena · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| coach days | 1181.00 | 665.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.59 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1675.07 | 1734.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.42 | 18.98 |
| eye test v1 | 0.47 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.66 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.71 |
| league points | 53.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 84.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.80 | 58.80 |
| rest days | 3.92 | 7.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.66 | 1.72 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.56 | 1.01 |
| solidity v1 | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.89 | 25.01 |
| state index | -0.03 | 1.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | 1.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.95 | 0.91 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.45 | 1.55 |