β Jupiler Pro League 2023 Β· Sat, Feb 24, 07:45 PM UTC Β· ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 61% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.27 |
| Kortrijk win | 16% | 6.00 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk β1 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Mechelen β1 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | β½ | Bill Antonio Β· Mechelen |
| 79' | β½ (og) | Tom Vandenberghe Β· Mechelen |
| 90' | β½ | Bilal Bafdili Β· Mechelen |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 2 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | AFAS Stadion |
| coach days | 115.00 | 54.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.14 | 2.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1573.72 | 1431.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 40.90 | 17.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.62 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.90 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.77 |
| league points | 41.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 41.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 0.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | -1.06 |
| solidity v1 | 0.49 | -0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.72 | 25.21 |
| state index | 0.59 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | -0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.32 | 1.64 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.58 | 0.77 |