← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Feb 24, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: B. Staessens
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.52 |
| Westerlo win | 26% | 3.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Westerlo −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.89 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | ⚽ | Ryotaro Ito · St Truiden |
| 59' | 🟨 | Griffin Yow · Westerlo |
| 87' | 🟨 | Jarne Steuckers · St Truiden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.51 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium |
| coach days | 299.00 | 85.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 5.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1546.65 | 1548.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.94 | -9.48 |
| eye test v1 | 0.69 | 0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.50 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.60 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.69 |
| league points | 39.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.00 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.80 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 5.99 | 7.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.36 | 0.02 |
| solidity v1 | -0.67 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 23.12 | 25.17 |
| state index | 0.19 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.00 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.85 | 1.31 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.90 | 1.90 |