← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Feb 18, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 57% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.94 |
| St Truiden win | 19% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| St Truiden −0.75 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Jarne Steuckers · St Truiden |
| 49' | ⚽ | Thorgan Hazard · Anderlecht |
| 52' | ⚽ | Mario Stroeykens · Anderlecht |
| 55' | ⚽ | Kasper Dolberg · Anderlecht |
| 73' | 🟨 | Rein Van Helden · St Truiden |
| 75' | ⚽ (pen) | Luis Vázquez · Anderlecht |
| 83' | 🟨 | Mario Stroeykens · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 444.00 | 293.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 3.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1748.95 | 1553.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.70 | 22.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | 0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.60 | 69.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.62 |
| league points | 59.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 60.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 2.03 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.48 | 1.19 |
| solidity v1 | -0.18 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.11 | 23.08 |
| state index | 0.72 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.80 | 1.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.14 | 1.60 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.25 | 1.77 |