← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Feb 17, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: W. De Cremer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 60% | 1.58 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.29 |
| Mechelen win | 17% | 5.87 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −1 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Antwerp −1 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | 🟨 | Ngal'ayel Mukau · Mechelen |
| 45' | 🟨 | Islam Slimani · Mechelen |
| 49' | 🟨 | Chidera Ejuke · Antwerp |
| 53' | 🟨 | Jacob Ondrejka · Antwerp |
| 57' | ⚽ | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antwerp | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| venue | Bosuilstadion |
| coach days | 657.00 | 108.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 5.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 8.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 4.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1750.62 | 1557.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 42.09 | 35.44 |
| eye test v1 | 0.52 | -0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 61.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.78 |
| league points | 55.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.00 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 6.30 | 6.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.14 | 0.29 |
| solidity v1 | 1.13 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 24.93 | 26.35 |
| state index | 1.27 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.05 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.79 | 1.33 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.69 | 1.59 |