← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Feb 11, 06:15 PM UTC · ref: L. D'hondt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 41% | 2.49 |
| Club Brugge win | 33% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge −0.25 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Gent −0.25 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Kévin Denkey · Club Brugge |
| 13' | 🟨 | Flávio Nazinho · Club Brugge |
| 23' | 🟨 | Flávio Nazinho · Club Brugge |
| 23' | 🟥 | Flávio Nazinho · Club Brugge |
| 52' | ⚽ | Laurent Depoitre · Gent |
| 55' | 🟨 | Thibo Somers · Club Brugge |
| 67' | ⚽ | Kévin Denkey · Club Brugge |
| 84' | 🟨 | Ismael Kandouss · Gent |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 11 |
| 10 | On target | 2 |
| 12 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| coach days | 1167.00 | 528.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.71 |
| elo | 1696.04 | 1690.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -49.62 | -0.69 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | 0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.48 | -0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.63 |
| league points | 50.00 | 85.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 65.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 7.03 | 0.94 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.53 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 11.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 19.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.44 | -0.52 |
| solidity v1 | -0.95 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 27.07 | 23.64 |
| state index | -0.05 | 0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.51 | -1.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.81 | 1.57 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.18 | 1.82 |