← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Feb 10, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: K. Van Damme
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 74% | 1.29 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.28 |
| Westerlo win | 10% | 11.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo −1.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| St. Gilloise −1.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.58 |
| Under | 39% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Thomas Van den Keybus · Westerlo |
| 15' | ⚽ | Loïc Lapoussin · St. Gilloise |
| 25' | 🟨 | Casper Terho · St. Gilloise |
| 49' | 🟨 | Emin Bayram · Westerlo |
| 52' | 🟨 | Griffin Yow · Westerlo |
| 59' | ⚽ | Loïc Lapoussin · St. Gilloise |
| 62' | 🟨 | Charles Vanhoutte · St. Gilloise |
| 72' | 🟨 | Mohamed Amoura · St. Gilloise |
| 75' | 🟨 | Kevin Mac Allister · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Nicolas Madsen · Westerlo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.58 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.88 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Mariën |
| coach days | 224.00 | 71.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.23 | 5.52 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1833.73 | 1531.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.50 | -28.33 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 71.40 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.69 |
| league points | 71.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 2.45 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.06 | -0.14 |
| solidity v1 | 0.90 | -1.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.58 | 25.25 |
| state index | 1.13 | -0.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.03 | 1.91 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.67 | 1.53 |