← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Fri, Feb 9, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: W. Smet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 62% | 1.55 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.39 |
| Kortrijk win | 16% | 6.06 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden −1 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Kortrijk −1 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | ⚽ (og) | Haruya Fujii · St Truiden |
| 83' | 🟨 | Abdoulaye Sissako · Kortrijk |
| 87' | 🟨 | João Silva · Kortrijk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium |
| coach days | 284.00 | 39.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.72 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1547.65 | 1440.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.83 | 27.64 |
| eye test v1 | 0.69 | -0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 70.50 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.54 | 0.83 |
| league points | 36.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.20 | 37.40 |
| rest days | 5.06 | 6.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -8.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.99 | -1.42 |
| solidity v1 | -0.18 | -0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 24.31 | 25.70 |
| state index | 0.10 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.00 | -0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.66 | 1.76 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.63 | 0.70 |