← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Feb 4, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 43% | 2.22 |
| Gent win | 30% | 3.31 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Gent −0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Pieter Gerkens · Gent |
| 43' | 🟨 | Tsuyoshi Watanabe · Gent |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Anders Dreyer · Anderlecht |
| 65' | 🟨 | Stefan Mitrović · Gent |
| 78' | 🟨 | Daisuke Yokota · Gent |
| 90' | 🟨 | Louis Patris · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 6 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 430.00 | 1160.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1733.68 | 1703.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.07 | -36.41 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | 0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.37 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.60 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.68 |
| league points | 53.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 58.20 |
| rest days | 2.92 | 2.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.96 | 1.72 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.35 | 0.77 |
| solidity v1 | -0.78 | -0.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.17 | 26.44 |
| state index | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.91 | 0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.50 | 1.56 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.11 | 1.43 |