← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Feb 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Bourdeaud'hui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 39% | 2.44 |
| AS Eupen win | 32% | 3.02 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Eupen +0.25 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Mechelen +0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 64' | ⚽ | Daam Foulon · Mechelen |
| 77' | 🟨 | Oleksandr Filin · AS Eupen |
| 90' | 🟥 | Jerome Deom · AS Eupen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Eupen | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Kehrwegstadion |
| coach days | 248.00 | 95.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 5.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 4.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1416.19 | 1547.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.94 | 29.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.56 | 0.98 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.77 |
| league points | 27.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 3.89 | 2.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | 1.01 |
| solidity v1 | -0.08 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 26.04 | 26.08 |
| state index | -0.35 | 0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.49 | 1.25 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.94 |