← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Thu, Feb 1, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Verboomen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 45% | 2.17 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.45 |
| St Truiden win | 27% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent +0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| St Truiden +0.25 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Joel Chima Fujita · St Truiden |
| 30' | 🟥 | Archie Brown · Gent |
| 35' | 🟨 | Rein Van Helden · St Truiden |
| 35' | ⚽ | Pieter Gerkens · Gent |
| 48' | ⚽ | Kahveh Zahiroleslam · St Truiden |
| 68' | ⚽ | Kahveh Zahiroleslam · St Truiden |
| 85' | ⚽ | Aboubakary Koita · St Truiden |
| 90' | ⚽ | Aboubakary Koita · St Truiden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 4 |
| 12 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 6 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium |
| coach days | 276.00 | 1157.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.76 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1532.87 | 1727.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.20 | -6.41 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | 0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 70.30 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.69 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.70 |
| league points | 33.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 61.40 |
| rest days | 4.29 | 4.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.58 | 0.94 |
| solidity v1 | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 24.13 | 26.91 |
| state index | -0.22 | 0.73 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.81 | 0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.33 | 1.35 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.19 | 1.43 |