← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Thu, Feb 1, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: W. De Cremer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Mechelen win | 30% | 3.23 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Anderlecht +0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Thorgan Hazard · Anderlecht |
| 39' | 🟨 | Mario Stroeykens · Anderlecht |
| 53' | ⚽ | Bill Antonio · Mechelen |
| 58' | 🟨 | Sandy Walsh · Mechelen |
| 78' | ⚽ | Luis Vázquez · Anderlecht |
| 90' | 🟨 | Geoffry Hairemans · Mechelen |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Geoffry Hairemans · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 16 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | AFAS Stadion |
| coach days | 92.00 | 427.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.72 | 3.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1543.40 | 1737.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 43.82 | 11.29 |
| eye test v1 | 0.97 | -0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.48 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.80 |
| league points | 33.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 4.05 | 4.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.40 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.02 | 0.07 |
| solidity v1 | -0.18 | -0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.21 | 26.55 |
| state index | 0.67 | 0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | 0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.25 | 1.56 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.09 |