← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Wed, Jan 31, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 43% | 2.43 |
| Standard win | 29% | 3.60 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Antwerp +0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟨 | Mandela Keita · Antwerp |
| 63' | ⚽ | Mahamadou Doumbia · Antwerp |
| 76' | 🟨 | Konstantinos Laifis · Standard |
| 86' | 🟨 | Chidera Ejuke · Antwerp |
| 88' | 🟨 | Mandela Keita · Antwerp |
| 88' | 🟥 | Mandela Keita · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 4 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days | 30.00 | 640.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 1.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1536.46 | 1708.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.54 | -32.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.82 | 0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.80 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.91 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.71 |
| league points | 31.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 59.20 |
| rest days | 5.01 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.37 | 0.88 |
| solidity v1 | 0.08 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 24.56 | 24.64 |
| state index | -0.61 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | 0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.14 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.13 | 1.45 |