← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Jan 27, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: S. Bourdeaud'hui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 66% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.00 |
| Westerlo win | 15% | 7.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo −1.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Gent −1.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.66 |
| Under | 42% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Romeo Vermant · Westerlo |
| 37' | 🟨 | Romeo Vermant · Westerlo |
| 44' | ⚽ | Omri Gandelman · Gent |
| 45' | 🟨 | Bryan Reynolds · Westerlo |
| 58' | 🟨 | Archie Brown · Gent |
| 63' | 🟨 | Roman Neustädter · Westerlo |
| 68' | 🟨 | Mathias Fixelles · Westerlo |
| 80' | 🟨 | Haspolat Dogucan · Westerlo |
| 86' | 🟨 | Julien De Sart · Gent |
| 87' | 🟨 | Nicolas Madsen · Westerlo |
| 87' | ⚽ (pen) | Nicolas Madsen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 7 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| 88' | 🟨 | Nacer Chadli · Westerlo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Omri Gandelman · Gent |
| coach days | 1152.00 | 57.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 3.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1733.48 | 1551.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.62 | 17.72 |
| eye test v1 | 0.45 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | -0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 64.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.70 |
| league points | 49.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.20 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.81 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 10.60 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.82 | -0.17 |
| solidity v1 | 0.38 | -1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.62 | 25.78 |
| state index | 0.95 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.68 | -0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.27 | 1.66 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.31 | 1.39 |