← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Fri, Jan 26, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Lardot
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 62% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.41 |
| Standard win | 16% | 5.93 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge −1 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Standard −1 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Moussa Djenepo · Standard |
| 64' | 🟨 | Edgaras Utkus · Club Brugge |
| 79' | ⚽ | Marlon Fossey · Standard |
| 88' | ⚽ | Thibo Somers · Club Brugge |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hannes Van Der Bruggen · Club Brugge |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 26 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.79 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Jan Breydelstadion |
| coach days | 512.00 | 25.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1704.13 | 1530.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.80 | -32.68 |
| eye test v1 | 1.04 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 47.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.76 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.71 |
| league points | 74.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.20 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.58 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.60 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | -0.19 |
| solidity v1 | 0.62 | -0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 24.04 | 23.95 |
| state index | 1.03 | -0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.48 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.93 | 1.27 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.18 | 1.01 |