← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Jan 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: W. Smet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 66% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.80 |
| St Truiden win | 13% | 8.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise −1 | 53% | 1.81 |
| St Truiden −1 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Kahveh Zahiroleslam · St Truiden |
| 37' | 🟨 | Daiki Hashioka · St Truiden |
| 45' | ⚽ | Ross Sykes · St. Gilloise |
| 59' | 🟨 | Joel Chima Fujita · St Truiden |
| 77' | 🟨 | Gustaf Nilsson · St. Gilloise |
| 83' | 🟨 | Frederic Ananou · St Truiden |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kevin Rodriguez · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fatih Kaya · St Truiden |
| 90' | 🟨 | Eric Bocat · St Truiden |
| 90' | ⚽ | Kevin Rodriguez · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 5 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Mariën |
| coach days | 204.00 | 265.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.06 | 4.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.72 |
| elo | 1820.22 | 1531.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.65 | -25.04 |
| eye test v1 | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 67.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.65 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.66 |
| league points | 58.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 58.60 |
| rest days | 25.80 | 24.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 2.42 | 1.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 10.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 17.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | 0.96 |
| solidity v1 | 0.94 | 0.96 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.80 |
| squad age | 27.13 | 23.25 |
| state index | 1.18 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.13 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.84 | 0.64 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.65 | 1.50 |