← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Jan 21, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 62% | 1.52 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.62 |
| Charleroi win | 16% | 6.16 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp −1 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Charleroi −1 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Vincent Janssen · Antwerp |
| 41' | ⚽ | George Ilenikhena · Antwerp |
| 43' | 🟨 | Marco Ilaimaharitra · Charleroi |
| 58' | 🟨 | Isaac Mbenza · Charleroi |
| 65' | ⚽ | Owen Wijndal · Antwerp |
| 76' | ⚽ | Jürgen Ekkelenkamp · Antwerp |
| 85' | ⚽ | Antoine Bernier · Charleroi |
| 87' | 🟨 | Gyrano Kerk · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antwerp | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Bosuilstadion |
| coach days | 630.00 | 446.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 3.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1718.06 | 1530.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.99 | 1.22 |
| eye test v1 | 0.31 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| league points | 37.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.60 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 26.00 | 24.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.62 | -0.52 |
| solidity v1 | -0.13 | 0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.21 | 25.82 |
| state index | 0.57 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.81 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.31 | 1.03 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.26 | 0.88 |