← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Fri, Jan 19, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Lardot
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 62% | 1.55 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.50 |
| Mechelen win | 16% | 6.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −1 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Gent −1 | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.81 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Daam Foulon · Mechelen |
| 31' | 🟨 | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 39' | 🟨 | Ismael Kandouss · Gent |
| 41' | 🟨 | Matisse Samoise · Gent |
| 50' | 🟨 | Daam Foulon · Mechelen |
| 60' | ⚽ | Julien De Sart · Gent |
| 63' | 🟨 | Elias Cobbaut · Mechelen |
| 83' | ⚽ | Bill Antonio · Mechelen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jannes Van Hecke · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 4 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.51 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| coach days | 1144.00 | 79.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 2.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1750.54 | 1505.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.69 | 11.41 |
| eye test v1 | 0.89 | 0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.72 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.70 |
| league points | 49.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.20 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 24.20 | 23.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.60 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.22 | 0.12 |
| solidity v1 | 0.64 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 27.03 | 26.91 |
| state index | 1.29 | -0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.69 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.08 | 1.30 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.96 | 0.91 |