← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Wed, Dec 27, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: L. D'hondt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 46% | 2.11 |
| Club Brugge win | 28% | 3.55 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Club Brugge −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under | 44% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Anders Dreyer · Anderlecht |
| 52' | ⚽ | Luis Vázquez · Anderlecht |
| 53' | 🟨 | Thomas Delaney · Anderlecht |
| 56' | 🟨 | Senna Miangue · Club Brugge |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 19 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 12 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 391.00 | 482.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.50 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1734.75 | 1703.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.07 | 51.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.94 | 1.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.74 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.30 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.79 |
| league points | 46.00 | 70.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 60.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.57 |
| season ppg | 2.09 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.88 | -0.58 |
| solidity v1 | -0.24 | 0.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.20 |
| squad age | 26.44 | 23.53 |
| state index | 0.94 | 1.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | -1.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.42 | 0.99 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.09 | 2.17 |