← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Wed, Dec 27, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 38% | 2.59 |
| St Truiden win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.11 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden −0.25 | 55% | 1.75 |
| Standard −0.25 | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.65 |
| Over | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 47' | 🟨 | Rein Van Helden · St Truiden |
| 80' | 🟨 | Cihan Çanak · Standard |
| 86' | ⚽ | Joel Chima Fujita · St Truiden |
| 88' | 🟨 | Aboubakary Koita · St Truiden |
| 90' | 🟨 | Wolke Janssens · St Truiden |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Wilfried Kanga · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 18 |
| 2 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days | 209.00 | 240.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 5.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 8.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 4.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.69 |
| elo | 1548.24 | 1528.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.79 | -30.26 |
| eye test v1 | -0.85 | 0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.50 | 64.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.68 |
| league points | 29.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 84.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 4.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 9.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.73 | 0.77 |
| solidity v1 | -0.20 | 1.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 24.89 | 23.36 |
| state index | -0.43 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.35 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.42 | 0.60 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.39 |