← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Tue, Dec 26, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Lardot
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 41% | 2.37 |
| Antwerp win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.49 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Genk −0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Alieu Fadera · Genk |
| 23' | 🟨 | Ritchie De Laet · Antwerp |
| 47' | 🟨 | Mandela Keita · Antwerp |
| 66' | 🟨 | Soumaila Coulibaly · Antwerp |
| 75' | ⚽ | Tolu Arokodare · Genk |
| 77' | ⚽ | Tolu Arokodare · Genk |
| 83' | 🟨 | Gerardo Arteaga · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 3 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| coach days | 604.00 | 604.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1731.35 | 1732.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.20 | 9.98 |
| eye test v1 | 1.91 | 0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.70 |
| league points | 38.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 61.40 |
| rest days | 2.70 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.80 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.34 | 0.89 |
| solidity v1 | 0.91 | 0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.09 | 25.52 |
| state index | 0.96 | 0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | 0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.81 | 1.01 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.95 | 1.42 |