← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Dec 23, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 72% | 1.33 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.76 |
| Westerlo win | 11% | 9.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp −1.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Westerlo −1.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under | 37% | 2.66 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | ⚽ | Arbnor Muja · Antwerp |
| 57' | 🟨 | Jürgen Ekkelenkamp · Antwerp |
| 71' | ⚽ | Lucas Stassin · Westerlo |
| 74' | 🟨 | Edisson Jordanov · Westerlo |
| 77' | ⚽ | Lucas Stassin · Westerlo |
| 85' | ⚽ | Toby Alderweireld · Antwerp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Toby Alderweireld · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 5 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antwerp | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Bosuilstadion |
| coach days | 601.00 | 22.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1739.06 | 1533.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.62 | -3.18 |
| eye test v1 | 0.93 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 63.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.63 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.71 |
| league points | 36.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 5.99 | 7.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.17 | 0.18 |
| solidity v1 | 1.17 | -0.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.64 | 26.17 |
| state index | 1.04 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.39 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.03 | 1.39 |