β Jupiler Pro League 2023 Β· Sat, Dec 23, 03:00 PM UTC Β· ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 79% | 1.22 |
| Draw | 14% | 7.21 |
| AS Eupen win | 7% | 14.47 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise +1.75 | 53% | 1.80 |
| AS Eupen +1.75 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.48 |
| Under | 36% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | π¨ | Jason Davidson Β· AS Eupen |
| 21' | β½ | Mohamed Amoura Β· St. Gilloise |
| 23' | β½ | Cameron Puertas Β· St. Gilloise |
| 45' | π¨ | Jan KrΓ‘l Β· AS Eupen |
| 54' | π¨ | Isaac Nuhu Β· AS Eupen |
| 57' | π¨ | Rune Paeshuyse Β· AS Eupen |
| 66' | β½ | Jason Davidson Β· AS Eupen |
| 82' | π¨ | Lazare Amani Β· St. Gilloise |
| 90' | π¨ | Amadou Keita Β· AS Eupen |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 1 | Shots | 20 |
| 1 | On target | 8 |
| 3 | Corners | 14 |
| 15 | Fouls | 8 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Eupen | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | β | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | β | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | β | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | β | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Kehrwegstadion |
| coach days | 205.00 | 175.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 1.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1398.23 | 1818.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -49.51 | 28.27 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | 0.96 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.73 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | β |
| league points | 18.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 7.80 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 2.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.00 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | -0.10 |
| solidity v1 | -2.04 | 0.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 25.85 | 27.06 |
| state index | -1.35 | 1.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | -1.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.18 | 0.72 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.99 | 1.61 |