← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Wed, Dec 20, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 38% | 2.64 |
| Standard win | 33% | 2.97 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Standard +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟥 | Merveille Bokadi · Standard |
| 35' | ⚽ | Norman Bassette · Mechelen |
| 51' | 🟨 | David Bates · Mechelen |
| 67' | ⚽ | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 82' | 🟨 | Rob Schoofs · Mechelen |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Geoffry Hairemans · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 28 | Shots | 14 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.60 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | AFAS Stadion |
| coach days | 49.00 | 202.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1499.57 | 1566.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.42 | 1.34 |
| eye test v1 | 0.54 | -1.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.00 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.75 |
| league points | 21.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | -0.49 |
| solidity v1 | 0.49 | -0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 27.62 | 25.40 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.12 | 1.80 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.15 | 0.54 |