← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Wed, Dec 20, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: W. Smet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 74% | 1.29 |
| Draw | 16% | 5.91 |
| Kortrijk win | 10% | 10.37 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge −1.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Kortrijk −1.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.52 |
| Under | 37% | 2.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Jordan Varela · Club Brugge |
| 30' | 🟨 | Mounaim El Idrissy · Kortrijk |
| 45' | ⚽ | Thibo Somers · Club Brugge |
| 47' | ⚽ | Kévin Denkey · Club Brugge |
| 55' | ⚽ | Alan Minda · Club Brugge |
| 57' | 🟨 | Abdoulaye Sissako · Kortrijk |
| 76' | 🟨 | Hannes Van Der Bruggen · Club Brugge |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mark Mampasi · Kortrijk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 6 |
| 13 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Jan Breydelstadion |
| coach days | 475.00 | 80.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 3.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1682.93 | 1405.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.49 | -31.53 |
| eye test v1 | 0.61 | -0.90 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.64 |
| league points | 63.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 2.97 |
| scorer concentration | 0.60 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.66 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.20 | -0.48 |
| solidity v1 | -0.29 | -1.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 24.06 | 25.29 |
| state index | 0.51 | -1.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -2.59 | 0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.31 | 2.22 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.84 | 0.55 |