← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Dec 17, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Anderlecht win | 28% | 3.51 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp −0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Anderlecht −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Theo Leoni · Anderlecht |
| 17' | 🟨 | Ludwig Augustinsson · Anderlecht |
| 67' | 🟨 | George Ilenikhena · Antwerp |
| 67' | 🟨 | Jan Vertonghen · Anderlecht |
| 70' | 🟨 | Jürgen Ekkelenkamp · Antwerp |
| 70' | 🟨 | Anders Dreyer · Anderlecht |
| 89' | ⚽ | George Ilenikhena · Antwerp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Zeno Debast · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antwerp | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| venue | Bosuilstadion |
| coach days | 595.00 | 381.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 3.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1741.25 | 1723.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.15 | 14.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.98 | 0.91 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.72 |
| league points | 35.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 8.10 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.15 | 0.78 |
| solidity v1 | 0.86 | 0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 25.51 | 27.45 |
| state index | 1.40 | 0.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.93 | 0.81 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.22 | 2.04 |