← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Dec 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Put
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 73% | 1.29 |
| Draw | 17% | 6.01 |
| Mechelen win | 10% | 11.67 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise −1.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Mechelen −1.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.61 |
| Under | 40% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 54' | ⚽ | Mohamed Amoura · St. Gilloise |
| 74' | 🟨 | Gustaf Nilsson · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | 🟨 | Loïc Lapoussin · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | 🟨 | Bilal Bafdili · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 15 |
| 8 | On target | 8 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.59 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Mariën |
| coach days | 169.00 | 46.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1816.86 | 1501.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.17 | 19.11 |
| eye test v1 | 0.56 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.80 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.65 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.71 |
| league points | 50.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 2.89 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 2.50 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | -0.24 |
| solidity v1 | 1.05 | 0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.60 | 27.26 |
| state index | 1.31 | -0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.97 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.03 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.51 | 1.26 |