← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Dec 10, 06:15 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 56% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.04 |
| Charleroi win | 20% | 4.93 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise +0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Charleroi +0.75 | 49% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.82 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Mohamed Amoura · St. Gilloise |
| 32' | 🟨 | Jonas Bager · Charleroi |
| 38' | 🟨 | Koki Machida · St. Gilloise |
| 40' | 🟨 | Lazare Amani · St. Gilloise |
| 50' | ⚽ | Casper Terho · St. Gilloise |
| 59' | 🟨 | Youssouph Badji · Charleroi |
| 62' | 🟨 | Stelios Andreou · Charleroi |
| 65' | ⚽ | Mohamed Amoura · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | ⚽ | Parfait Guiagon · Charleroi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 9 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 7 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade du Pays de Charleroi |
| coach days | 404.00 | 162.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.67 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1531.00 | 1794.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.03 | -12.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.58 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.72 |
| league points | 22.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 8.14 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 2.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.05 | -0.05 |
| solidity v1 | -0.64 | 0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.74 | 27.15 |
| state index | -0.03 | 0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.63 | 1.19 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.02 | 1.49 |