← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Dec 10, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Lardot
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 60% | 1.64 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.20 |
| Standard win | 17% | 5.67 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard −1 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Anderlecht −1 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.84 |
| Under | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Anders Dreyer · Anderlecht |
| 36' | 🟨 | Hayao Kawabe · Standard |
| 45' | ⚽ | Hayao Kawabe · Standard |
| 55' | ⚽ | Wilfried Kanga · Standard |
| 72' | 🟨 | Aiden O'Neill · Standard |
| 73' | 🟨 | Nathan Ngoy · Standard |
| 74' | 🟨 | Anders Dreyer · Anderlecht |
| 76' | 🟨 | Zeno Debast · Anderlecht |
| 77' | ⚽ (pen) | Anders Dreyer · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.81 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 374.00 | 192.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.24 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1729.60 | 1563.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.91 | -16.12 |
| eye test v1 | 1.21 | -0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.61 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.75 |
| league points | 41.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 18.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 8.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 2.16 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.81 | -0.21 |
| solidity v1 | 0.67 | -1.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.30 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.65 | 24.31 |
| state index | 1.25 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.07 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.78 | 1.99 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.92 | 0.94 |