← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Dec 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Bourdeaud'hui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 68% | 1.41 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.38 |
| AS Eupen win | 14% | 7.07 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk +1.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| AS Eupen +1.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 66% | 1.45 |
| Under | 34% | 2.84 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | ⚽ | Yira Collins Sor · Genk |
| 53' | 🟨 | Alieu Fadera · Genk |
| 56' | ⚽ | Joseph Paintsil · Genk |
| 65' | ⚽ | Regan Charles-Cook · AS Eupen |
| 80' | 🟨 | Carlos Cuesta · Genk |
| 90' | ⚽ | Tolu Arokodare · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 18 |
| 4 | On target | 10 |
| 8 | Corners | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Eupen | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Kehrwegstadion |
| coach days | 192.00 | 588.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 1.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1411.71 | 1726.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.75 | -10.33 |
| eye test v1 | -0.64 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | -0.69 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 62.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.47 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.76 |
| league points | 18.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 7.91 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -10.60 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.42 | 0.63 |
| solidity v1 | -0.98 | -0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.86 | 24.71 |
| state index | -1.05 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.44 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.56 | 1.51 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.79 | 1.83 |