← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Fri, Dec 8, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: B. Staessens
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo win | 38% | 2.67 |
| Kortrijk win | 34% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo +0 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Kortrijk +0 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | ⚽ | Matija Frigan · Westerlo |
| 66' | ⚽ | Isaak Davies · Kortrijk |
| 71' | 🟨 | Emin Bayram · Westerlo |
| 83' | 🟨 | Kyan Vaesen · Westerlo |
| 87' | ⚽ | Erdon Daci · Westerlo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Radovanović · Kortrijk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sinan Bolat · Westerlo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Guldensporenstadion |
| coach days | 68.00 | 7.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.74 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1418.11 | 1517.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.62 | -1.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.99 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.68 |
| league points | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.74 | 0.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | -0.29 |
| solidity v1 | -1.03 | -0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.02 | 23.64 |
| state index | -0.73 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | -0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.72 | 1.53 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.97 |