← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Nov 26, 06:15 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Kortrijk win | 31% | 3.28 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen +0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Kortrijk +0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Norman Bassette · Mechelen |
| 10' | 🟨 | Daam Foulon · Mechelen |
| 16' | ⚽ | Rob Schoofs · Mechelen |
| 54' | 🟨 | Mory Konate · Mechelen |
| 79' | ⚽ | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 89' | 🟨 | Sheyi Ojo · Kortrijk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alex Mighten · Kortrijk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Guldensporenstadion |
| coach days | 56.00 | 25.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1434.08 | 1492.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.99 | -8.29 |
| eye test v1 | -1.15 | 0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 49.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.66 |
| league points | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.94 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.76 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.04 | 0.45 |
| solidity v1 | -1.13 | -0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 24.40 | 26.83 |
| state index | -0.39 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.41 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.87 | 1.53 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.58 | 1.56 |