← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Nov 12, 06:15 PM UTC · ref: B. Staessens
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 79% | 1.19 |
| Draw | 13% | 7.51 |
| Kortrijk win | 8% | 14.26 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk −2 | 50% | 1.93 |
| St. Gilloise −2 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.44 |
| Under | 33% | 2.88 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Abdelkahar Kadri · Kortrijk |
| 14' | 🟨 | Fedde Leysen · St. Gilloise |
| 23' | 🟨 | Loïc Lapoussin · St. Gilloise |
| 45' | ⚽ | Kevin Rodriguez · St. Gilloise |
| 45' | ⚽ | Kevin Rodriguez · St. Gilloise |
| 54' | ⚽ | Loïc Lapoussin · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Mariën |
| coach days | 134.00 | 42.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 3.29 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1786.66 | 1437.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.88 | 31.49 |
| eye test v1 | 1.14 | -0.92 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.69 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.80 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.72 |
| league points | 40.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 69.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 3.02 | 8.14 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 2.50 | 0.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 11.00 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.20 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.71 | -1.26 |
| solidity v1 | 0.52 | -0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.64 | 24.63 |
| state index | 1.04 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.60 | -0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.07 | 1.58 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.30 | 0.78 |